ACUS11 KWNS 091948
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091947=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-092215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0159
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0247 PM CDT Sun Mar 09 2025

Areas affected...the Florida Panhandle...southern Alabama...and
southwest Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 091947Z - 092215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few storms are likely to produce hail through this
evening.

DISCUSSION...A quasi-stationary front currently exists over the
northeastern Gulf, and near the coastal Florida Panhandle. While
stronger overall instability resides to the south, substantial
elevated instability exists well inland as southwest winds aloft
persist and aid in moisture transport. Forecast soundings show
strong effective shear over 60 kt, and these lengthy hodographs
ahead of the upper trough will support hail production in elevated
storms, including left movers.

While only a few storms currently exist, additional development is
possible near the frontal zone throughout the rest of the day. The
primary threat should be hail above 1.00" diameter.

..Jewell/Gleason.. 03/09/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4I-RxJf7mBWPUt2jayUesY71pq69G2DNlnqcW-8FiGB8v-anMVs843sYtGwUDQ1ijEBrEzTXm= 7lBelIiiCDEN07-4wQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 29948418 29558494 29628534 29998572 30328644 30298714
30238758 30608750 31328710 31898596 31888457 31278402
30708395 29948418=20


=3D =3D =3D
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