ACUS11 KWNS 260444
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260443=20
GAZ000-ALZ000-260615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0985
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1143 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

Areas affected...Parts of central/south AL into west-central GA

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 328...

Valid 260443Z - 260615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 328
continues.

SUMMARY...Wind-damage potential may persist into the early morning.

DISCUSSION...A rather long-lived and extensive QLCS continues to
move across parts of central AL late this evening. An earlier bowing
segment across northern AL has weakened, and both the northernmost
and southernmost portions of the QLCS are tending to sag
southeastward with time, with the gust front advancing ahead of the
deeper convection. The most vigorous part of the QLCS at the moment
is across west-central AL, where the line has taken on a more
north-south orientation and is currently surging eastward. Favorable
low-level moisture and moderate downstream buoyancy may help to
sustain this portion of the line and the attendant wind-damage
threat in the short term.=20

The longevity of the organized severe threat with this QLCS is
uncertain, with low-level flow and deep-layer shear expected to
remain modest at best. However, if the eastward-surging line segment
can keep pace with the outflow, then some wind-damage threat could
spread into east-central/southeast AL and west-central/southwest GA
with time. Cells developing ahead of the line in the vicinity of the
remnant outflow could also be strong to marginally severe into the
early morning. Potential for any downstream watch issuance will
depend on trends regarding QLCS organization and the downstream
environment over the next 1-2 hours.

..Dean/Mosier.. 05/26/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!60k-acMRlE5D-o80t6XU_Agu9QfLJR2yIxsO0z2eGlAFNfgDYCAetOfDeVV27j7oii2rHidwM= w30Vv4C9dQRtSCEeoE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 33138721 33678626 33448485 33258431 32638437 31848480
31818577 31758743 31738786 31938817 33138721=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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