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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0987

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon May 26 07:42:21 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 260742
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 260742=20
    TXZ000-260915-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0987
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0242 AM CDT Mon May 26 2025

    Areas affected...portions of northeast TX

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329...

    Valid 260742Z - 260915Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe/locally damaging gusts remain possible across
    north/northeast TX in the short term. Some severe potential could
    persist outside of WW 329 and trends are being monitored for
    possible downstream watch issuance.

    DISCUSSION...An organized line of convection is currently moving south/southeast across the Metroplex, and a few severe gusts have
    been noted over the past hour. Convection appears to be keeping pace
    with the leading edge of outflow, likely in part due to a 25-30 kt
    southerly low-level jet feeding into the thunderstorm complex.
    Downstream, a moist and unstable airmass with little inhibition is
    place. If outflow does not surge too far ahead of the ongoing line
    of thunderstorms, some potential for sporadic severe/damaging gusts
    could persist into portions of east Texas. Trends will be monitored
    and local watch extensions or a new downstream watch may be needed.

    ..Leitman.. 05/26/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9umNmK7c3SDXVqyNi0PBTkBSbHLVTR5LaKyl6f6a7IzKL3DYkHOzGA8KU4Z_lkvfrVjb5_qP8= -zEOyHM96ZzyMy8f5A$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...

    LAT...LON 33369597 32699493 31979445 31619484 31449549 31289634
    31469717 31779758 32329783 32779794 33149795 33359751
    33459657 33369597=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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