• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0999

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 27 00:49:32 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 270049
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 270048=20
    OKZ000-TXZ000-270215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0999
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0748 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025

    Areas affected...TX Panhandle and western OK

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333...

    Valid 270048Z - 270215Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe threat should persist across the Texas Panhandle
    over the next few hours with large hail, severe gusts, and a tornado
    possible. Some threat, mainly for isolated severe hail and strong
    gusts, should also spread into western Oklahoma.

    DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells that formed along a southwest/northeast-oriented surface trough over the eastern TX
    Panhandle have largely consolidated into the southeast portion of
    the Panhandle. Large hail and a brief tornado will remain the
    primary near-term threats with this activity. A loosely organized
    cluster will cross the NM/TX border area soon. This has produced a
    measured wind gust to 53 kts at TCC and will largely remain the
    primary wind threat as it likely spreads across the southern TX
    Panhandle. It may eventually congeal with the slow-moving cells over
    the southeast TX Panhandle. The severe threat into western OK should
    remain lower-end, but could persist for several hours with a primary
    threat of isolated hail. Cooler-than-normal boundary-layer
    temperatures will likely remain a mitigating factor to greater
    severe wind potential through the rest of the evening.

    ..Grams.. 05/27/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9fFrEknmcgsma37GfQ9MfZoWuM9daip-zyBezEUq6RrNcMSEaIjhkpDAqIejyhU3-JJSYOSRS= uqppmlsE8CWg2GSk-0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

    LAT...LON 35940000 36339970 36329898 35809849 35479854 35039859
    34559937 34420005 34320096 34270275 35150273 35410101
    35940000=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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