ACUS11 KWNS 270243
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270243=20
TXZ000-270345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1001
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0943 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025

Areas affected...TX South Plains

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333...

Valid 270243Z - 270345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333
continues.

SUMMARY...A localized severe threat should persist across a portion
of the Texas South Plains before weakening by Midnight CDT. An
additional watch is not expected.

DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells persist in/near the southwest
corner of WW 333 along the NM/TX border. The lack of low-level jet
response ahead of this activity, with only weak easterlies, and
increasing MLCIN with southeast extent, per modified 00Z MAF
sounding, suggest that storms should diminish towards midnight.
Still, given the longer-lived organization will support a brief
tornado and large hail threat until the updrafts subside.

..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!58Ea-gDo2vpsl9EcNpbLjv2B_cJzQUw5IL4cuWpuo7aoCTuswDmD1HYTgl9B4POtZtJhx64HL= KBKD2VDmril2xKmUlU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 33380268 33240231 33040186 32820171 32590177 32500200
32490244 32680279 32960296 33380268=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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