ACUS11 KWNS 271355
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271355=20
FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-271530-

Mesoscale Discussion 1007
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0855 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025

Areas affected...southeastern Louisiana...southeastern
Mississippi...southern Alabama...and the western Florida Panhandle

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 271355Z - 271530Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...An increasingly unstable airmass is developing ahead of
ongoing storms. A downstream watch may be needed.

DISCUSSION...An ongoing cluster/line of storms moving across
southern Mississippi and southeastern Louisiana has had occasional
reports of wind damage. Ahead of this line, a very moist airmass is
in place with low to mid 70s dewpoints. In addition, mostly clear
skies are present which has allowed for temperatures to warm into
the low 80s. Additional heating is anticipated with MLCAPE around
2000 J/kg expected. Mid-level flow around 30 to 35 knots (sampled by
HDC VWP) should provide ample shear for maintenance of the ongoing
cluster. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat from this
activity through the late morning and into the afternoon.=20

A downstream severe thunderstorm watch may be needed to address this
threat.

..Bentley/Guyer.. 05/27/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6Kibt0BF8N0262xuoHE7pD_xVwnhNvs_Yy3gwKZdHoDbKQQ8L57f-DA-2khj-nyyaQW2U_ZQp= qOmFmzHo2D_-xRmRHI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON 30919014 31598979 32558862 32968793 33308693 33088596
32538551 31368523 30478587 30308669 30228762 30198834
30028875 29498895 29028900 28938975 28979075 29159117
30279076 30919014=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)