ACUS11 KWNS 282223
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282222=20
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-290015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1028
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0522 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025

Areas affected...southwest KS to northwest OK

Concerning...Tornado Watch 342...

Valid 282222Z - 290015Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 342 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat should persist within the southeast
portion of WW 342 and extend into an initially confined downstream
corridor in northwest OK and southwest KS.

DISCUSSION...Scattered discrete cells across mainly southwest KS and
adjacent portions of far southeast CO and the OK Panhandle have
produced reports of significant severe hail. A localized corridor of
greater tornado potential is apparent ahead of the ongoing dominant
storms along the KS/OK border. Consensus of afternoon guidance
indicates strengthening of the low-level jet over the next few hours
across the ribbon of low 60s surface dew points present across the
eastern Panhandles into western OK. This will enlarge low-level
hodographs within the KS/OK border area and a tornado threat may
commence. Otherwise, large hail will likely remain the primary
hazard as cells gradually spread east-southeast. While overall
tornado potential may be rather confined spatially, a downstream
watch issuance is being considered.

..Grams/Hart.. 05/28/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7rx_uWwOjNxTPa5S71bAK4pCYAInTvMAFfBfAGDyQ0uFbB3_WDW6duARjhL1EIdzoPgUxJzy1= HoKa02fsoKo52-w-aM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...

LAT...LON 37130161 37320156 37630126 37720098 37650027 37209931
36539900 36029916 35689954 35829986 36200015 36540058
36660090 37130161=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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