• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1030

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed May 28 23:27:58 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 282326
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 282326=20
    TXZ000-290100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1030
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0626 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025

    Areas affected...portions of central Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 343...

    Valid 282326Z - 290100Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 343
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Threat for large to very large hail (2+ inches) continues
    within WW343.

    DISCUSSION...Two strong supercells continue within WW343 across
    central Texas this evening, with a history of producing hail up to 2
    inches. The environment within this region continues to be very
    favorably unstable, with steep lapse rates, and strong deep layer
    shear. This will continue to support strong supercells over the next
    few hours.=20

    Some mesoscale enhancement has occurred with the cell over
    Williamson/Travis counties as it interacted with a remnant outflow
    boundary. This storm produced hail up to 2 inches as it topped out
    around 50kft. It will continue southward and local extension of
    WW343 may be needed to account for this threat.

    ..Thornton.. 05/28/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-1ehqJvPsRbIOYs9F6ZRgmfw08wBI-aT21KyRJz5WpSrj_EGIK9Qzx3yt5ALxOTMuKDjVXRK6= nSBqnLz0Ve_6u-jpU8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...

    LAT...LON 31420016 31989977 32219914 31979867 31499796 31019725
    30779713 30409734 30129747 30049780 30099839 30599949
    31420016=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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