ACUS11 KWNS 290049
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290048=20
KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-290215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1032
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025

Areas affected...southeast CO...southwest KS...northwest OK
Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 342...

Valid 290048Z - 290215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 342 continues.

SUMMARY...Sporadic severe hail and strong to localized severe gusts
should persist for a couple more hours as the final round of
thunderstorms congeals to the southeast.

DISCUSSION...Despite numerous storms and cold IR cloud tops, the
final round of thunderstorms across southeast CO and southwest KS is
largely progressing across previously overturned air from
outflow-dominated clusters now in the eastern OK and northern TX
Panhandles. Thus, much of this activity is likely rooted by elevated
parcels, as sampled by the 00Z DDC sounding. Sporadic severe hail
will probably remain the primary threat, with magnitudes limited by
further upscale growth. The convective wind threat should generally
remain more strong than severe, with lingering support provided by
low to mid 70s surface temperatures between the two convective
regimes in southeast CO to extreme southwest KS.

..Grams.. 05/29/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7XtTyqhvcMzrUChGaf48LPX48sWNyxDPTvR9Te8SJefGxorQ1Z_VjrugOzFEWm7xQGu_EYqXH= SBvJYfIgWub4NXDVNg$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

LAT...LON 37980059 37540028 37190058 36950151 36830271 36980329
37490379 37810367 37940290 37950226 37960194 37980059=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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