• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1035

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu May 29 14:30:18 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 291430
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 291429=20
    FLZ000-ALZ000-291530-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1035
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0929 AM CDT Thu May 29 2025

    Areas affected...Coastal Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 291429Z - 291530Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible this morning.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms across southern Alabama has
    recently evolved into a bowing line segment along Gulf Coast. A
    moist environment downstream of this line with 30-35 knots of
    effective shear (per EVX VWP) will sustain some damaging wind threat
    as it moves into the western Florida Panhandle this morning. Expect
    this line to eventually weaken as it moves into more stable,
    easterly flow across the central Florida Panhandle later this
    morning as expanding cloudcover/stratiform rain overspreads this
    region in the next few hours. A few damaging wind gusts are possible
    within this line over the next few hours, but no severe thunderstorm
    watch is anticipated.

    ..Bentley/Smith.. 05/29/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7F4mFrG4paosXEvowCdI4q2ikEggYIgfP9UkIG_XKdIuaqp5Uxa5mzgsgyzSudvz8XEe7BDOB= x2LCX4rYjeWEctKBgw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

    LAT...LON 30968812 31098746 31108647 31048620 30928603 30638584
    30288611 30298697 30178771 30118816 30218834 30968812=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)