• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1048

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri May 30 21:00:52 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 302100
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 302100=20
    SCZ000-302230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1048
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0400 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of eastern South Carolina

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347...

    Valid 302100Z - 302230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A swath of damaging wind gusts (60-70 mph) is possible as
    storms continue tracking eastward across central/eastern South
    Carolina -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watches 347 and 349.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of severe thunderstorms, including an
    embedded supercell structure, is tracking eastward at around 40 kt
    across central into eastern SC. The CAE VWP shows around 40 kt of unidirectional 0-6 km shear oriented perpendicular to this storm
    cluster. This favorable orientation, combined with warm/moist
    pre-convective inflow, should support the maintenance of these
    storms with eastward extent. The primary concern is the potential
    for a swath of damaging winds (60-70 mph), with locally higher
    possible.

    ..Weinman.. 05/30/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!44UMGBHLatmXxRb-e0tg0Opyuld1rZGFJA_bIDTBVjdGFU0qTlh2Gbl__R8AL1Qi8ellGNMiR= rSRinKBh0M5mC0VLqs$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...

    LAT...LON 33518111 34048011 34097969 33937913 33647883 33097926
    32847979 32868041 33018086 33278107 33518111=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN




    =3D =3D =3D
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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri May 30 22:00:33 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 302105
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 302104=20
    SCZ000-302230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1048
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0404 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of eastern South Carolina

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347...

    Valid 302104Z - 302230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A swath of damaging wind gusts (60-70 mph) is possible as
    storms continue tracking eastward across central/eastern South
    Carolina -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watches 347 and 349.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of severe thunderstorms, including an
    embedded supercell structure, is tracking eastward at around 40 kt
    across central into eastern SC. The CAE VWP shows around 40 kt of unidirectional 0-6 km shear oriented perpendicular to this storm
    cluster. This favorable orientation, combined with warm/moist
    pre-convective inflow, should support the maintenance of these
    storms with eastward extent. The primary concern is the potential
    for a swath of damaging winds (60-70 mph), with locally higher
    possible.

    ..Weinman.. 05/30/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5QCE7gbBvfZTIVPN4gcSkzgy9vMZLnyKbGEEhDwkoy1E5zRo4RRPK0zvj_4f985HdIFDDtk3j= UcL83cJqkbmj2M0oDc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...

    LAT...LON 33518111 34048011 34097969 33937913 33647883 33097926
    32847979 32868041 33018086 33278107 33518111=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

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