ACUS11 KWNS 302033
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302032=20
WIZ000-MIZ000-302200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1047
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0332 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

Areas affected...Eastern Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 302032Z - 302200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity has begun to increase across
portions of northeastern Wisconsin ahead of a southward-moving
surface cold front. While no WW issuance is anticipated, storms
could be capable of intermittent hail and damaging wind gusts.

DISCUSSION...Storms have developed along and ahead of a southward
moving cold front in northeastern Wisconsin, with some modest
clearing out ahead of the storms and cooler temperatures aloft
resulting in some modest 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. Deep layer shear
exceeding 40 knots will support some convective organization, with
relatively well-mixed/dry boundary layer profiles supporting
damaging wind gusts with the strongest storms. With the freezing
level being at approximately 700 mb, potential exists for hail up to 1.00"-1.25" as well.

..Halbert.. 05/30/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8aJ8eXNOmO4HB0LZyPzPdbxKlK-2sTC6xttVvDNxXd8CQrgTSB8eEiCSGuX0PMtN6v19HBOF8= VMzoLpJnpGLUpQMIf4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...

LAT...LON 43968875 44778873 45328859 45488807 45488769 45098736
44398729 43638744 42868771 42648796 42758834 43118873
43968875=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)