ACUS11 KWNS 271807
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271806=20
NCZ000-VAZ000-272000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1349
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0106 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

Areas affected...southern Virginia and northern North Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 271806Z - 272000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...A few damaging gusts may occur this afternoon across
portions of southern Virginia and northern North Carolina. A watch
may be needed.

DISCUSSION...A deep, moist air mass is in place across the
southeastern CONUS south of a residual boundary, and convective
temperatures have been reached across portions of southern Virginia
and northern North Carolina, resulting in scattered thunderstorm
development. The flow aloft in the vicinity of the storms is
relatively modest with generally better flow farther north. This
results in relatively weak shear across much of the area, though
sufficient for multicell clusters. The very moist air mass in place (precipitable water near or above 2 inches) may result in
water-loaded downdrafts, leading to a few damaging gusts. As the
afternoon progresses, storms will likely cluster together,
increasing the potential for damaging gusts. A watch may be needed
this afternoon.

..Supinie/Guyer.. 06/27/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7F5bsA5hhBSxZDSXnYemt9KX1RzT6cECwx6CAUN7qoMZ4-URt48WGHVe3m3PbimHLybxC9wVI= ulaRzTzbY3zNoJUMXg$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON 34927617 35177849 35567999 36108024 36817920 37287803
37307662 37137600 36517572 35667536 35137541 34927617=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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* Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)