ACUS11 KWNS 281851
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281850=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-GAZ000-282045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Areas affected...portions of the Carolinas and far eastern Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 281850Z - 282045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few damaging gusts are possible this afternoon across
portions of the Carolinas and far eastern Georgia. A watch is not
anticipated, though trends will be monitored.

DISCUSSION...A subtle mid-level wave is traversing generally weak west-northwesterly flow across the southern Appalachians, leading to
a weak surface low pressure in central North Carolina. These are
serving as focuses for thunderstorm development this afternoon
across the Carolinas. Ahead of these storms, a very deep, moist air
mass is in place, with precipitable water values near or above 2 in
across the region, and this may contribute to a threat for damaging
gusts this afternoon due to water-loading in downdrafts. However,
generally westerly surface winds should result in weak convergence
and weak shear, leading to poorly-organized convection. As such,
damaging gusts are currently expected to remain too sporadic to
justify a watch, though trends will be monitored.

..Supinie/Guyer.. 06/28/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4v4BWJMU-PkdyCBLMMkn3m71AaY5C37Nh64zGTqpLOnnF_iNHOIe8mM4DLsPn3dtf5WeA7fe3= EomB8TjhrfKIkvBT70$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...
FFC...

LAT...LON 35148338 36448019 36597898 36337802 36177741 35517683
34717734 33398026 33338203 33708278 34518358 34738362
35148338=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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* Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)